Cruz continues to dramatically increase unbound delegates – same old story as last week and the week before
Why should people who now know what Trump is like be required to vote for him no matter what?
I’m a nobody Cruz supporter
A prime number to win for the primaries — no natural divisor greater than one.
Via Politico: Cruz crushes Trump in weekend delegate fight
As the Texas senator romps in the shadow primary, his billionaire rival builds big leads among GOP voters in key states.
Ted Cruz notched another delegate landslide Saturday, stretching his advantage in a competition that might never occur: the second ballot of a contested Republican National Convention in July.
Cruz won at least 65 of the 94 delegates up for grabs Saturday (and he may have won more, but Kentucky’s 25 delegates haven’t revealed their leanings). The Texas senator has so thoroughly dominated the fight to send loyalists to the national convention that if front-runner Donald Trump fails to clinch the nomination on the first ballot, Cruz is well-positioned to surpass him — and perhaps even snag the nomination for himself — when delegates are free in subsequent convention rounds to vote for whomever they want.
(Snip)
But Cruz’s dominance may be for nothing. Trump’s dominant victory in New York last week, along with expected victories across the northeast on Tuesday, put him on the cusp of earning the nomination without any convention drama in Cleveland. On the first ballot, most delegates are required to vote according to the results of state primaries and caucuses, and that’s where Trump has a wide edge — 845 to Cruz’s 559.
OK fine, but 845 is not the magic number of 1237 needed to win on the first ballot at the RNC convention in Cleveland.
In that regard we point out this analysis from Hugh Hewitt (a Cruz supporter) which he made on MSNBC after Trumps New York values win. Via RealClearPolitics
Hugh Hewitt: Trump Will Not Reach 1,237 Before Convention, But It Is Possible
HUGH HEWITT: There are 15 states left on the Republican side. Donald Trump needs 392 delegates to reach the magic number of 1,237. I went through state by state and I was very generous. In fact, I gave him 51 of the 57 delegates in Indiana. Most people don’t do things like that. On the other hand, I’m realistic. He’s not going to win any in Nebraska, Montana or South Dakota. So at the end of all that math, he needs 392. With my analysis, 14 out of the 15 states, he only gets to 273. That means he needs 119 delegates coming out of all the other primaries except California.
California has 171 available. It’s very hard for me seeing Donald Trump getting more than 100 of the California delegates. So even under the rosiest of scenarios when you really sit down and do the math under the rules. Rhode Island is proportional, others are are winner take all, some are by Congressional districts. He can’t get to 1,237 unless a political asteroid hits California. So I don’t see it happening.
And so I pray ( R Mall)
DLH and R Mall
