- If the Dem convention goes to a second ballot . . . Bloomberg’s money will really count
- A brokered convention is the Moochelle scenario . . . but . . .
- Money talks MO walks
- Drag a BILLION through a Demorat convention and you never know HOW MANY delegates you’ll line up, but it will be a lot
- Bernie folks would be soooo burned
Prediction Model Now Shows ‘No One’ as Most Likely Winner of Democratic Primary (bold our emphasis)
The model projects that although 1,990 delegates are needed, Sanders will get no more than 1,521, while Biden will net 815 and Bloomberg will snare 786. Other candidates in the race will have even small chunks of the delegate pie, the model predicts.
If the projection holds true, Democrats would be heading for what is called a brokered convention.
That takes place when no candidate wins a majority of delegates, leading to deal-making that result in one candidate’s delegates supporting another candidate to put the other over the top.
Sanders has said whoever has the most delegates should be the nominee, regardless of whether that candidate hits the magic number.
“The convention would have to explain to the American people, ‘Hey, candidate X got the most votes and won the most delegates at the primary process, but we’re not going to give him or her the nomination,’” he told MSNBC.
“I think that would be a divisive moment for the Democratic Party.”
The last brokered convention took place in 1952, when Adlai Stevenson was nominated by the Democratic Party on the convention’s third ballot, CNN reported.
“It’s possible, it’s quite possible,” Chris Spirou, a former New Hampshire Democratic Party chairman, told The Hill. “I think Bloomberg entering into this thing provides a much greater possibility of a brokered convention.”
“There’s a real possibility of a brokered convention and that in itself may be enough to serve as motivation for some who might have otherwise dropped out, to hang around longer to see if they can’t have a place in this thing and play a part in determining the nominee,” Jim Demers, a New Hampshire Democratic strategist said.
One commentator said Bloomberg’s personal resources could speak very loudly at a brokered convention.
“Bloomberg potentially could spend $4 billion or $5 billion of his own money, not just for his own campaign, but for Democrats all over, from dog catcher to Senate,” Lenny Glynn, a Massachusetts businessman, told The Hill. “Every single superdelegate at the Democratic convention, if we don’t have a clear majority, is going to realize — holy bazookas, Mike Bloomberg might spend $5 million in support of my campaign for a district in Oklahoma. So yeah, there’s a chance.”
Then again:
In Midst of Iowa Debacle, Chris Matthews Thinks Even Adam Schiff Could Be 2020 Nominee
Democrats had three years to craft a candidate to face perhaps the most charismatic president in history, and they have landed on Andy Kaufman’s stunt double.
Sad times indeed.
