Two Polls: Trump and Cruz lead

Via World Net Daily: Look who’s No. 1 in NBC poll after GOP debate

Joe Kovacs writes:

A brand-new scientific poll taken in the wake of Thursday’s Republican debates and Donald Trump’s war of words with Fox News anchor Megyn Kelly shows the billionaire developer increasing his lead at the top position, with GOP establishment candidates such as Jeb Bush and Chris Christie in a downward spiral.

The NBC News Online Survey was conducted online by SurveyMonkey from August 7-8, 2015 among a national sample of 3,551 adults aged 18 and over. The overnight poll was conducted for 24 hours from Friday evening into Saturday.

Trump ranked at No. 1, scoring 23 percent support, a gain of 1 percentage point from NBC’s previous poll.

U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas saw the biggest increase of 7 percent, finishing in second place with 13 percent of the overall vote.

Neurosurgeon Ben Carson came in third, scoring 11 percent, a personal increase of 3 points.

Former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina tied Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida for fourth place with 8 percent, but Fiorina experienced a massive 6-point jump for herself compared to her previous status at just 2 percent.

More from the author here.


Cruz leads Newsmax online (volition) poll

Newsmax is currently hosting an Internet poll asking:

In a Republican presidential primary, who would you prefer as the GOP nominee?

Results as of an hour or so ago were as follows (early Sunday evening)

Sen. Ted Cruz 288,059 (15%)   Donald Trump 221,352 (12%)

Dr. Ben Carson 251,934 (13%) 

Gov. Jeb Bush 94,218 (5%)   Gov. Chris Christie 75,276 (4%)  

Gov. Mike Huckabee 85,649 (4%)    Gov. Scott Walker 85,714 (4%)   

Sen. Rand Paul 76,303 (4%)  Gov.  Bobby Jindal  56,784 (3%)  

Sen. Marco Rubio 48,509 (2%)  Gov. Rick Perry 41,976 (2%)  

Gov. John Kasich 29,883 (1%)  Carly Fiorina 4,678 (0%) 

Sen. Rick Santorum 2,518 (0%)  Lindsey Graham 1,730 (0%) 

George Pataki 2,055 (0%  Peter King 619 (0%) 

Other questions asked in the online poll:

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?

Approve 321,693 (17%)   Disapprove 1,505,940 (82%)

Of the below options, which are you more focused on when choosing your candidate?

Jobs and the U.S. economy 833,256 (45%)

Preserving traditional values 476,293 (26%)

National security 384,132 (21%)

Healthcare reforms 132,933 (7%)

Do you have a portfolio of stocks, bonds and/or gold in excess of $200,000?

Yes 52,779 (21%)   No 188,459 (78%)

Poll results

The poll (we are led to believe) was conducted after Thursday’s Fox News debate but at least in significant duration post debate. While not “scientific,” and regardless of whether we have stated the timing accurately, we think the results significant in broad strokes. That opinion is based on the size of the response; that candidate machines have an equal opportunity to respond; and the presumed nature of the magazines readership (center right).  We understand that the poll can be criticized from a number of aspects including that it might be a intended to gather demographic data for solicitations, but so what?  No portfolio level was required in order to respond and it would seem to provide useful political data in itself (no cross-tabs were provided). Data considered proprietary, is often not included in published polls so be leery.   The poll has apparently not ended so will be subject to change

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