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We do not trust “public health” officials. We are not talking about care providers, the front line people, but rather the statisticians, the number crunchers, the academics, the political advisers who operate in that environment who may also have a political agenda, indeed got into the filed imbued with one. One reason all should be looked on with some skepticism is because they do not get as impacted by their policy recommendations in their ivory towers, rather, perhaps, they get advanced.
They often cannot be proved wrong and they can always fall back on either “better safe than sorry” and the supposed debate ending “if we save one life isn’t it worth it?” Actually the latter comes more from the useful idiots as much of the public health ilk are closet eugenics types and triage fiends and are less concerned with individual life than they should be given credit for.
This critique doesn’t apply to all of them but my instincts are not to trust them without some information on their right to life and philosophical views. Anybody that was favored by the Obama administration is suspect.
The following articles relate to our commentary above and the concerns that engendered it:
Video of Dr. Fauci in 2009 is Unearthed – Shows a Calm and Unalarmed NIH Chief During H1N1 Epidemic that Killed Over 12 Thousand Americans
The George W. Bush administration published the National Strategy for Pandemic Influenza plan in 2005, which called on the federal government to distribute medical supplies from the Strategic National Stockpile governed by the Health and Human Services Department in the event of an outbreak.
In 2009, the H1N1 outbreak hit the United States, leading to 274,304 hospitalizations, 12,469 deaths, and a depletion of N95 respirator masks.
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A federally backed task force and a safety equipment organization both recommended to the Obama administration that the stockpile be replenished with the 100 million masks used after the H1N1 outbreak.
Charles Johnson, president of the International Safety Equipment Association, said that advice was never heeded.
“Our association is unaware of any major effort to restore the stockpile to cover that drawdown,” he said.
HHS Secretary Alex Azar reported last month that only 12 million N95 masks were available in the stockpile, “a tiny fraction of the 3.5 billion masks one of Azar’s deputies later testified the nation’s healthcare system would need,” the Los Angeles Times noted.
Bloomberg News reported similar findings last week, noting, “After the H1N1 influenza outbreak in 2009, which triggered a nationwide shortage of masks and caused a 2- to 3-year backlog [of] orders for the N95 variety, the stockpile distributed about three-quarters of its inventory and didn’t build back the supply.”
Dr. Fauci Wants America to Become a Police State Like China in Order to Stop Coronavirus
Fauci is now seen as an oracle of sorts in the era of the coronavirus.
“I will bring it up at the next task force meeting and see whether there’s some sort of a logistical, bureaucratic reason why it can’t be done. The rationale for doing it is at least worth serious consideration,” he added.
As Americans grow more fearful and desperate because of the coronavirus pandemic, Fauci has emerged as a popular soothsayer to the hapless public. The public increasingly views him as an oracle regarding the virus, and he has played into the role by advocating an increase of authoritarianism at every turn.
“I think Americans should be prepared that they are going to have to hunker down significantly more than we as a country are doing,” he said during a recent appearance on MSNBC’s “Meet the Press,” in which he called for a national shutdown for a minimum of two weeks.
“You know I would prefer as much as we possibly could. I think we should really be overly aggressive and get criticized for overreacting,” he added.
Meanwhile, President Trump is urging people not to overreact to the coronavirus pandemic.
“WE CANNOT LET THE CURE BE WORSE THAN THE PROBLEM ITSELF,” Trump said in a Twitter post on Sunday night. “AT THE END OF THE 15 DAY PERIOD, WE WILL MAKE A DECISION AS TO WHICH WAY WE WANT TO GO!”
However, Fauci has no problem with creeping totalitarianism, suggesting that an unprecedented expansion of government power against the Constitution is nothing to be worried about.
“You don’t want to be complacent. You always want to be ahead of the curve,” Fauci said, “but it depends on how far ahead of the curve you want to be.”
Sarah Hoyt writing at PJ Media has an excellent thought piece on the subject of shaming resistance to public health theories: There are many active links documenting statements made in the original
. . . My personal grandmother, if she were still alive, and they told me I’d need to kill all of you in batch lots to keep her alive – and get to have tea with her – one more day? Let’s just say I’d prefer not to be tempted.
However, that doesn’t make it a good idea.
Because by sacrificing our wealth, we’re sacrificing our ability to care for other grandmothers in the future. Absent in the barrage the media is blasting at people is that part of the reason for the triage – known as letting people die – in Italy is the lack of money for the medical system. Now, part of this is because it’s government-run, part is because the Italian economy has been sinking for several years.
Which means that by destroying the economy we’re condemning a lot of grandmas to death. (And that’s without taking into account how poverty increases illness.)
But let’s say – for the sake of argument – we take the left’s idea that it’s worth putting everyone on lockdown to avoid one death.
Well, guys, we’re in trouble now.
Because the number of people who die in the U.S. every year from the strangest things is through the roof.
First of all let’s get the annual flu deaths from an average flu year in the U.S., from a site at random.
If you take the number of deaths year-wise, you will find a vast variation with a low of 3,349 deaths during the flu season of 1986-87 to a high of 48,614 in 2003-04.
For this season this is the current estimate:
222,000 Positively Tested for Flu and 22,000 deaths
Which is probably also a low estimate on how many people had it, because at least for me, the normal answer to calling my doctor and telling them I have the flu is “You probably do. Don’t come in.”
Now, with those numbers putting the COVID-Sars-Wuhan flu in perspective, let’s look at other ways to die that don’t seem to make our media run around with their hair on fire:
. . .
And let’s not forget that in 2005-2014 there were an average of 3,536 fatal unintentional drownings (non-boating related) annually in the United States.
Unlike Cov-Sar-China virus, this scourge falls disproportionately on those under 14, who have their entire lives ahead of them and are of economic importance for the future, at least if you expect anyone to pay for the panic insanity of 2020.
That means they must be saved. Fortunately, the fix is relatively minor. All levels of government must ensure that all Americans wear a lifejacket at all times, even in bed, because the ground could open under your house and drop you into a long-forgotten underground river. If it saves even one life! You’ll sleep with filter-mask and lifejacket on and like it.
Also, since some percentage of these deaths are in the bathtub, these appliances shall now be ripped from every home.
Apparently, more than 27,000 falls led to death in 2014, out of 800,000 falls that led to injury. Like the China virus, this cruel harbinger of doom falls disproportionately on the old and the enfeebled.
From now on EVERY American must wear a complex apparatus composed of stabilizing and catching rods and buffers in case they trip. They will be followed by another American carrying pillows, in case they can’t avoid the fall, so they can cushion it.
Yes, that means Americans will do nothing but follow each other carrying pillows. But hey, if it saves even one life, who are you to say it’s not worth it? What if it were your mother, you unfeeling savage?
The alternative is making everyone crawl on their belly so they can’t fall, of course.
So you see, in the interest of saving even one life, you will now have to crawl on your belly wearing a filter mask and a life preserve, and be handed your vegan (all the animals being dead) disinfectant-impregnated food. (Yes, I do know disinfectant is usually poisonous. But this is a government program, so that’s what you’ll get.)
And you’ll like it! Because if it saves even one life, it’s totally worth it, right?
The economic impact: Democrats vs Republicans
Fox News contributor Dr. Marc Siegel added his voice to a growing chorus of medical, political and economic experts who are warning that the U.S. must change its approach to the coronavirus pandemic or risk doing more harm to the country than the actual disease.
“About three or four weeks from now, we’re going to back off of these draconian measures because we won’t be able to stay together as a society if we don’t,” warned Siegel on Fox Nation’s “Deep Dive” on Monday.
President Donald Trump also alluded to this concern in a tweet on Sunday, writing in all capital letters, “WE CANNOT LET THE CURE BE WORSE THAN THE PROBLEM ITSELF. AT THE END OF THE 15 DAY PERIOD, WE WILL MAKE A DECISION AS TO WHICH WAY WE WANT TO GO!”
Fox News and Fox Nation host Steve Hilton observed that the economic impact of local, state and federal measures to impose “extreme social distancing” on millions of Americans may plunge the nation into an economic crisis on par with the “Great Depression, perhaps even worse.”
The Wall Street Journal editorial board sounded the alarm on this issue last week in a piece titled, “Rethinking the Coronavirus Shutdown.”
“I would argue that the administration needs to start pivoting and moving to phase two and letting everybody know that this ends on a date certain and that we’re going move to a new approach because we will destroy our economy if this continues much longer,” Strassel contended.
Joel Griffith, a research fellow for the Institute for Economic Freedom and Opportunity at the Heritage Foundation, warned that measures to stop the spread of the virus have pushed too many businesses to the brink of bankruptcy.
“Most of these businesses don’t have cash in the bank that can sustain them past three or four weeks being shut down,” said Griffith. “We can handle a two-week shutdown. We can’t handle a two-month shutdown.
Expert Doctor Warns Dems: ‘More Will Die From Economic Collapse Than COVID-19’ (excerpt, bold our emphasis)
Speaker Nancy Pelosi spent the weekend rejecting every single GOP proposal of the COVID-19 rescue bill to help our economy avoid a total collapse. It sure appears like the Democrats are trying to kill our economy, which is why what this expert doctor in disease prevention is saying sure seems like the truth. Dr. John Ioannidis of Stanford claims more people will die from a potential economic collapse than from COVID-19, and he has the statistics to prove it. You don’t want to miss this.
What if the hysteria by government officials over this pandemic is based on faulty formulas? Well, if you are an expert trying to warn Americans of this possible outcome, you found yourself censored by leftists elites.
Dr. John Ioannidis wrote an extensive piece titled: “A fiasco in the making? As the coronavirus pandemic takes hold, we are making decisions without reliable data.”
“The current coronavirus disease, Covid-19, has been called a once-in-a-century pandemic. But it may also be a once-in-a-century evidence fiasco,” the Stanford expert writes. “At a time when everyone needs better information, from disease modelers and governments to people quarantined or just social distancing, we lack reliable evidence on how many people have been infected with SARS-CoV-2 or who continue to become infected.”
“The data collected so far on how many people are infected and how the epidemic is evolving are utterly unreliable. Given the limited testing to date, some deaths and probably the vast majority of infections due to SARS-CoV-2 are being missed,” he adds.
. . . Dr. John Ioannidis concludes that more people will die from an economic collapse than from COVID-19.
He is not alone. Aaron Ginn and Justin Hart, both statisticians, join Ioannidis in pointing out, in the beginning, the World Health Organization (WHO) based its numbers on faulty formulas. By now, most of you have heard that COVID-19 is more deadly than the yearly flu.
However, that stat by WHO was based on a different formula.
The yearly flu stats are based on the total world’s population (a very big number). So, when we translate that into a percentage of the number of people who will die from the flu, the percentage is around 0.1 percent.
WHO did not use the total world’s population. Instead, they used a percentage of those infected who die, and that’s how they came up with the 3.4 mortality rate. The true number of those dying from COVID-19 is the same as the yearly flu, 0.1 percent or less.
“This evidence fiasco creates tremendous uncertainty about the risk of dying from Covid-19. Reported case fatality rates, like the official 3.4% rate from the World Health Organization, cause horror — and are meaningless. Patients who have been tested for SARS-CoV-2 are disproportionately those with severe symptoms and bad outcomes. As most health systems have limited testing capacity, selection bias may even worsen in the near future,” Dr. Ioannidis said.
You have also heard that this virus is much more contagious. This is also a fallacy.
Dr. Paul Auwaerter, the Clinical Director for the Division of Infectious Diseases at Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine says transmission of COVID-19 is also similar to the seasonal flu.
“If you have a COVID-19 patient in your household, your risk of developing the infection is about 10%….If you were casually exposed to the virus in the workplace (e.g., you were not locked up in conference room for six hours with someone who was infected [like a hospital]), your chance of infection is about 0.5%,” Dr. Auwaerter said.
Those numbers reflect what we see in the seasonal flu and is the point the good doctor from John Hopkins is making. All these experts also say one of the best instances we can use to see real numbers of this pandemic happens to be what went down on the cruise ship the Diamond Princess.
“The one situation where an entire, closed population was tested was the Diamond Princess cruise ship and its quarantine passengers. The case fatality rate there was 1.0%, but this was a largely elderly population, in which the death rate from Covid-19 is much higher,” Dr. Ioannidis said.
“Projecting the Diamond Princess mortality rate onto the age structure of the U.S. population, the death rate among people infected with Covid-19 would be 0.125%. But since this estimate is based on extremely thin data — there were just seven deaths among the 700 infected passengers and crew — the real death rate could stretch from five times lower (0.025%) to five times higher (0.625%),” Ioannidis concludes.
This still comes nowhere near to the 3.4 percent projection from WHO that drove our government officials to shut down the U.S. economy.
“A population-wide case fatality rate of 0.05% is lower than seasonal influenza,” Dr. Ioannidis points out. “If that is the true rate, locking down the world with potentially tremendous social and financial consequences may be totally irrational. It’s like an elephant being attacked by a house cat. Frustrated and trying to avoid the cat, the elephant accidentally jumps off a cliff and dies.”
All of these experts’ work is being censored. Google warns you that “the following information may be unreliable” before you can click to proceed to view their work. Well, never fear. It sure looks like President Donald Trump has gotten wind of these expert opinions:
“WE CANNOT LET THE CURE BE WORSE THAN THE PROBLEM ITSELF. AT THE END OF THE 15 DAY PERIOD, WE WILL MAKE A DECISION AS TO WHICH WAY WE WANT TO GO!” Trump tweeted.
“I don’t pretend to be speaking for everyone 70 plus, but I think there were lots of grandparents out there who would agree with me that I want my grandchildren to live in the America I did,” Patrick told Carlson in the text. “I want them to have a shot at the American Dream but right now this virus which all the experts say that 98% of all people will survive is killing our country in another way. It could bring about a total economic collapse and potentially a collapse of our society. So I say let’s give this a few more days or weeks but after that, let’s go back to work and go back to living. Those who want to shelter in place can still do so, but we can’t live with this uncertainty.”
“I am living smart, listening to the president, the CDC guidelines like all people should, but I am not living in fear of COVID-19,” Patrick said, acknowledging that he is in the “high risk” group. “What I’m living in fear of is what’s happening in this country. No one reached out to me and said, as a senior citizen, are you willing to take a chance on your survival in exchange for keeping the America that all America loves for your children and grandchildren? And if that’s the exchange, I’m all in.”
Explaining that he has six grandchildren and that his position doesn’t make him any more “noble or brave” than anyone else, Patrick contended that he doesn’t “want the whole country to be sacrificed.”
“And that’s what I see,” he said. “I’ve talked to hundreds of people just in the last week and making calls all the time and everyone says pretty much the same thing, that we can’t lose our whole country. We are having an economic collapse.” (RELATED: ‘The Most Hopeful Thing I Have Heard’: Adam Carolla Impresses Tucker With Philosophical Take On Coronavirus Crisis)
“So my message is that let’s get back to work. Let’s get back to living,” Patrick said. “Let’s be smart about it and those of us who are 70 plus, we’ll take care of ourselves, but don’t sacrifice the country. Don’t do that. Don’t ruin this great American dream.”
When asked whether he meant that there are things “worse than dying,” Patrick agreed, saying, “I’m not trying to think of it in any kind of morbid way, but I’m just saying that we’ve got a choice here, and we are going to be in a total collapse, recession, depression, collapse in our society. If this goes on another several months, there won’t be any jobs to come back to for many people.”
From The Gateway Pundit (TGP)
The US coronavirus mortality rate dipped to 1.25% on Sunday using deaths (396) divided by confirmed cases (38,167).
That number is actually SIGNIFICANTLY lower if you factor in ALL OF THE CASES that are not being reported, where people are not feeling sick enough to be tested.
That number could be 6-7 times higher than the current number of 38,167.
The mortality rate for the coronavirus in the US continues to fall as more and more Americans are able to be tested.
12 days ago the US coronavirus mortality rate was 4.06
Today the mortality rate is down to 1.25%!
4.06% March 8 (22 deaths of 541 cases)
3.69% March 9 (26 of 704)
3.01% March 10 (30 of 994)
2.95% March 11 (38 of 1,295)
2.52% March 12 (42 of 1,695)
2.27% March 13 (49 of 2,247)
1.93% March 14 (57 of 2,954)
1.84% March 15 (68 of 3,680)
1.6% March 17 (116 of 7,301)
1.4% March 19 (161 of 11,329)
1.25% March 20 (237 of 18,845)
01.0% March 22 (396 of 38,167
Thanks to the fraudulent numbers by the WHO the global economies are in a complete meltdown over the coronavirus panic.
Now, after several days of testing, the numbers are starting to look more and more like what you would expect from a harsh flu season.
** The 1918 Spanish Flu Pandemic killed 675,000 out of US population of 103,268,000 or about — 1 in 200
** The 2020 Coronavirus has killed 396 (so far) out of a population of 333,546,000 or a little more than — 1 in a million
As we have reported several times now — the Director of the World Health Organization created an international panic when he miscalculated the coronavirus mortality rate at 3.4%.
The controversial Ethiopian politician and Director General of the World Health Organization (WHO), Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, claimed in a press conference in early March that the fatality rate for the coronavirus was many multiples that of the fatality rate of the common flu.
This egregiously false premise has led to the greatest economic panic in world history.
The Director General of the WHO spoke on March 3, 2020 and shared this related to the coronavirus:
While many people globally have built up immunity to seasonal flu strains, COVID-19 is a new virus to which no one has immunity. That means more people are susceptible to infection, and some will suffer severe disease.
Globally, about 3.4% of reported COVID-19 cases have died. By comparison, seasonal flu generally kills far fewer than 1% of those infected.
Here is the video of Dr. Ghebreyesus’s remarks.
This statement led to the greatest panic in world history as the global elite media shared and repeated that the coronavirus was many, many times more deadly than the common flu.
The problem is his statement is false.
It was not accurate!
As The Gateway Pundit reported Monday, the coronavirus mortality rate reported by the media as stated by Dr. Ghebreyesus is completely inaccurate.
He overstated the coronavirus mortality rate. You can read more on that here.
According to the weekly CDC flu report — flu deaths are up by 1,000 over last week.
And according to the global coronavirus trackers US coronavirus deaths are up by 396 for the entire year on Sunday.
The coronavirus panic may end up mathematical error in global history.